How ML Stats Calculates Poker Odds

ML Stats estimates hand strength and decision guidance in real time using card-state simulation and pot-odds math.

What the calculator returns

For the cards and settings you enter, the tool reports:

Win percentage (estimated chance your hand wins at showdown)
Tie percentage (estimated chance your hand ties at showdown)
Pot odds percentage (required equity based on pot size and call amount)
Action guidance (a rule-based Raise / Call / Fold recommendation)

High-level method

Your selected hole cards and board cards are validated and normalized.
Unknown cards are sampled repeatedly to model possible outcomes.
Each sampled showdown is evaluated and aggregated into win/tie percentages.
Pot odds are computed from pot size and call amount.
Guidance is generated by comparing estimated equity to required equity.

Pre-flop performance optimization

For common pre-flop spots, ML Stats may use cached values that are generated from the same simulation framework. This improves speed while preserving consistency in outputs.

What this page does not disclose

This document is intentionally high level. It does not publish proprietary implementation details, complete parameterization, internal thresholds, or full internal data artifacts.

Important note